Analisis Forex & Kajian: 29.06.2022 - Bitcoin continues to decline...

29.06.2022 02:15 PM

Bitcoin continues to decline amid falling trading volumes

The cryptocurrency market finally stabilized after the market capitalization reached the $1 trillion mark. Bitcoin played the key role in this situation as it continues to hold the significant psychological level of $20,000. Despite this fact, the bears are constantly trying to test this level. It was the reason why the price reached the key zone on June 29 and exerted pressure on the whole crypto market.

Bitcoin declined to the upper boundary of the support area due to a series of small red candlesticks. Consequently, the price fell by 3% during the day and affected the whole crypto market. The capitalization of all crypto assets reached the $900 billion mark, then the decline stopped. Bitcoin managed to defend the $20,000 level despite selling pressure. However, it is significant that BTC overall trading volumes are dropping. Notably, buying activity is falling again. This fact may indicate further attempts to break through the $20,000 level.

A downward trend is clearly observed in the active BTC addresses with local bursts of activity caused by related factors. This suggests that there is no influx of new users into the cryptocurrency market and trading activity is falling. As for Bitcoin, this situation is acceptable under favorable conditions with the key role of institutional investors. However, the rising number of unique addresses is a significant factor for the consolidation and recovery phase during periods of bear markets.

Moreover, BTC trading volumes on exchanges exceed the number of coins being withdrawn. This means that investors continue to sell off Bitcoin and do not plan to accumulate the asset.

Stock markets exert increasing pressure on Bitcoin quotes. This fact is considered a negative factor for BTC growth. According to Bloomberg reports, the global stock and bond market decline has reached $35 trillion. This figure is extremely high amid the cryptocurrency market. Experts predict that the decline in capitalization will continue due to the Fed's aggressive monetary policy and the growing BTC amounts withdrawn by the agency. In the current situation, Bitcoin is in the same position as the stock markets. Therefore, the drop in trading volumes looks alarming.

These factors indicate a breakout of the $20,000 mark in the short term with far-reaching consequences. Sellers await coming economic reports that will change the market trend and favor to achieve the necessary targets. Publication of inflation, US unemployment reports as well as CPI reports play a key role for Bitcoin. Therefore, the cryptocurrency is most likely to reach the local bottom.

Moreover, it is necessary to discuss the crucial component of the current bear market, i.e. miners. It was already mentioned that the total credit liabilities of the mining companies reached $4 billion. The cryptocurrency mining sector has managed to stabilize near the $20,000 level. However, in case of a more significant decline, there is a high probability of another sell-off to build a reserve fund and pay off current debt. Taking this aspect into account, the next 7 days will be volatile and Bitcoin will most likely fall beyond the $20,000 level.

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Crypto-currencies

Artem Petrenko,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
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